Oreoa Insights & Strategy · Exeri

For principal contractors and project delivery organisations

Execution intelligence
for capital project delivery.

Exeri identifies subcontractor deterioration and converts it into commercial intelligence — quantifying fragility, procurement–execution drift, and intervention priority across live projects.

Detect subcontractor fragility before default or programme disruption
Quantify exposure across concurrent projects and packages
Prioritise interventions while deterioration is still reversible
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73%
Of construction failures show detectable signals four or more weeks before collapse
R 292M
In subcontractor exposure under active intelligence monitoring in current validation model
4
Intelligence domains tracked per subcontractor per week across every active package
Why Oreoa Built This

We didn’t set out to build software. We set out to answer a question our clients kept asking us by hand.

Oreoa's advisory work has sat inside the highest-risk layer of capital project delivery for years — the subcontractor tier, where deterioration is common and visibility is rarest, especially across emerging markets. Exeri began as an internal instrument for reading that risk in real time inside our own engagements. It is now the platform we believe the market has been missing.

The Problem

Subcontractors don’t fail suddenly.

They deteriorate progressively through signals that are detectable — if you are watching for them. Current systems report what has already happened. Exeri detects what is becoming true.

Week 1
Cash flow pressure builds. Payment cycle extends from 30 to 44 days. Labour attendance drops 8%. Invisible to the principal contractor.
Week 3
Productivity falls 18% below baseline. Key foreman departs. Compliance documentation begins slipping. Fragility Index: 62. No intervention.
Week 6
Subcontractor cannot pay suppliers. Site walkout. Programme collapses. Claims follow. Fragility Index: 94. The signals were there at Week 1.
With Exeri
Intervention triggered at Week 2. Fragility contained. Programme protected.
Why Systems Miss It

Cost and programme systems tell you what happened.

Exeri is designed to tell you what is becoming true — while intervention is still possible and exposure is still manageable.

Standard project controls
Report costs incurred and milestones passed. Useful for recording history. Silent on deterioration in progress.
Exeri
Detects fragility while it is still a signal. Tracks procurement–execution drift weekly. Surfaces intervention priority before commercial failure.
When the problem becomes visible
After commercial damage has occurred. Claims, disputes, programme collapse.
When Exeri acts
While deterioration is still reversible. Before a failure event. While the intervention window is open.
How Exeri Thinks

Four intelligence layers, working in sequence

Exeri is not a reporting tool. It is an execution intelligence engine that converts weak operational signals into executive-grade intelligence — across four compounding layers.

Layer 01
Fragility Detection
Every subcontractor is scored weekly across four domains — Stability, Financial, Operational, and Compliance — producing a composite Fragility Index from 0 to 100. The index identifies deterioration long before commercial failure becomes visible. Phase weighting and concentration factors ensure the score reflects commercial reality, not just signal frequency.
Stability Financial Operational Compliance Phase Weighting Concentration Factors
Layer 02
Procurement–Execution Delta
Procurement defined a set of assumptions: payment cycles, productivity rates, labour availability, programme delivery. Execution is producing a different reality. Exeri measures that gap — across four dimensions, every week. A widening overall delta is the earliest commercial warning available — generated before fragility scores deteriorate and before the commercial event arrives.
Payment Delta Productivity Delta Labour Delta Programme Delta
Layer 03
Intervention Intelligence
Exeri tracks every intervention: what was done, when, by whom, and with what result. Before and after fragility scores are recorded for each. This creates an immediate commercial proof point — estimated exposure avoided — and a long-term institutional intelligence base that compounds with every engagement.
Queue Management Effectiveness Tracking Outcome Attribution
Layer 04
Commercial Intelligence
Fragility, delta, and intervention data compound into a single commercial view: exposure by project, by package, and by concentration — with estimated exposure avoided calculated and defensible at every renewal. This is where operational signal becomes a board-level number, and where Exeri earns its place on the commercial director's desk rather than the site engineer's.
Exposure Quantification Concentration Risk Exposure Avoided
Commercial Proof

Estimated exposure avoided is the metric that renews contracts

When a package deteriorates from Fragility 74 to Fragility 40 following an Exeri-prompted intervention — and that package carries R45M of exposure — the platform has demonstrably protected commercial value. Without the before-and-after intelligence record, that value is impossible to quantify.

The failure of one subcontractor is not the same as the failure of another. Exeri knows the difference — and prices the distinction into every decision.

Exeri Intelligence Principle
R 43M
Estimated exposure associated with deteriorating packages in validation model
Derived from current validation model across 17 active subcontractor packages. Illustrative of exposure-at-risk and intervention tracking logic. Not yet a commercial client case study.
3
Interventions with measurable before-and-after fragility reduction recorded
Fragility reductions of 9–13 points per intervention recorded in current model across packages carrying R15M–R47M of individual exposure.
Who It’s For

Built for the people who carry the commercial risk

The ideal first client is a principal contractor managing five or more active subcontractor packages on at least two concurrent projects, with a total subcontractor exposure portfolio of R50M or greater. At that scale, the Exeri intelligence layer pays for itself within a single avoided commercial failure.

Primary Approver
Commercial Director / CFO
Motivated by exposure reduction, claims avoidance, and programme protection. The Exeri intervention record produces a commercially defensible proof of value at renewal.
Primary User
Project Director / Senior PM
Motivated by early warning and intervention intelligence. Uses the Decision Surface and Delta screens to identify which packages require attention before they become commercial events.
Data Contributor
QS / Commercial Manager
Motivated by baseline tracking and deviation detection. Enters procurement baselines, validates operational signals, and manages the intervention queue at package level.
Why Exeri

Differentiated from standard project controls by design

Exeri is differentiated from standard project controls and reporting tools by its explicit focus on subcontractor fragility, procurement–execution drift, and intervention effectiveness. Most market tools report cost, programme, or compliance status. Exeri is designed to detect execution fragility before commercial failure.

Capability Market Norm Exeri What This Means
Subcontractor fragility detection Not available Core product Weekly scoring across 4 domains. Detects deterioration before commercial failure.
Procurement–execution delta Not available 4 dimensions Payment, Productivity, Labour, Programme. The earliest commercial warning available.
Concentration risk across projects Not available Implemented Concurrent failure detection. Identifies when multiple packages on one project are deteriorating simultaneously.
Intervention effectiveness tracking Not available Full tracking Before and after fragility scores. Estimated exposure avoided. The commercial proof point of every engagement.
View full commercial brief →
Current Status

From validated intelligence engine to commercial platform

The Exeri intelligence engine has been built and validated across live project records. Commercial platform build is underway. The first pilot contractor conversations are in progress.

Intelligence engine validated across 17 active subcontractor packages and 10 projects
Commercial platform build underway — cloud-based, multi-tenant, secure
First pilot engagements in progress — targeting principal contractors with R50M+ subcontractor exposure
Oreoa Insights & Strategy · Exeri

The right conversation
starts here.

We are speaking with a small number of principal contractors and project executives for the first commercial pilot. If your organisation manages subcontractor relationships on complex capital projects, we want to speak with you.

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